Jan 17, 2022

Basis Commodities – Australian Crop Update – Week 4 2022

FOB replacement values using the Australian track bid/offer (AUD) – not a FOB Indication

Market Update

Domestic markets remain quiet for the most part. From a demand point of view the export capacity is being dominated by feed grain, lower quality milling wheat and canola at healthy elevation margins. Demand for the remaining milling grade wheat is holding to a hand to mouth buying pattern and feels expensive into the Middle East and East Africa as Black Sea and Argentinian values remain competitive. 

Execution remains difficult and a number of ports around the country are suffering from congestion. In terms of capacity, most sellers are now looking at June forward as China seems to have quietly picked up a lot of the remaining first half stem.

Our analyst Agscientia raised their final 21/22 national wheat production update to 36.9MMT on the back of the massive Western Australia deliveries. Barley production is 12.7MMT, canola 6.35MMT and sorghum 2.33MMT. Larger plantings and favourable seasonal conditions have come together to allow Western Australian farmers to eclipse the previous record large harvest by over 30 percent, according to the Grain Industry of Western Australia (GIWA). GIWA said Western Australia produced just over 24MMT of all grains. The exceptional result was a function of a record planted area of 9.2 million hectares, up 7.8 percent on last year and a fifth more than the previous record harvest. Other contributing factors were the early plantings dates, good early moistures as well as mild temperatures which allowed the crop to get off to an excellent start. The favourable early start also prompted farmers to boost fertiliser applications, GIWA said.

The USDA delivered its February WASDE report last week which was in line with pre report expectations. USDA sharply reduced South American soybean production estimates for a second consecutive month while only making a small cut to corn output. This sent soybeans higher with bigger gains in corn as soybean futures have already factored most of the production losses. Funds were large buyers of corn and soybean following the report and to a lesser degree wheat. Soybean and corn futures set eight-month highs.

Weather

Ocean Freight

In ocean freight, owners have been trying to drag the market upwards with charterers that had waited for a clear market picture to emerge after the CNY/Olympics suddenly scrambling for cover. However, by early this week the sentiment was softening.

Australian Dollar

The AUD remained range bound.

Share This Article

Other articles you may like

29 Apr, 2024
The 2024/25 season for Australian Oaten Hay has started with sowing well underway for all growing areas. The initial expectation for the upcoming year is much the same as the current season where we saw a significant increase in acreage planted and a higher than average quality profile. With the return to normal freight rates despite the international pressures and an Australian Dollar that has been well below the 0.700 cent handle for much of the past 12 months, there has never been a better time for exporters of Australian Oaten Hay to develop new markets. Growth in interest has been seen from the Middle Eastern markets with the integration of Oaten Hay to the ration alongside alfalfa with excellent results forthcoming. As part of the Basis Commodities service offering, we like to share our insights and knowledge on our products to better support our customers. Please enjoy this report on the various considerations for Oaten Hay during the growing stage as well as our future reports in the coming months as we head towards new crop which is due for export in October/November 2024. Australian Oaten Hay: Despite the concerns with a drier season for cereal crops, less moisture, particularly at the end of the hay growing season produces a far better product to suit the dairy and livestock industries. In this month’s report, we will explain the reasons why less rainfall can actually benefit an oaten hay crop. Fibre Length and Thickness: Too much moisture during the growth cycle of an oaten hay crop will produce thicker stems and longer fibre lengths which reduces the feed test value. This is due to the nutrients of the plant being spread across a larger fibre length diluting the high levels of water soluble carbohydrates (sugar content important for palatability) and increasing the acid and neutral detergent fibres leading towards poor fibre digestion and absorption rates Lodging: Lodging is defined as the permanent displacement of a stem from a vertical posture. It is often caused by high wind speeds, made worse by wet conditions. It can happen quickly or relatively slowly, with stems initially leaning, then falling under the pressure. If too much water is received on an oaten hay crop, the plant may grow beyond a stable position and fall over. This is because the root system of the plant has not penetrated deeply enough through the soil as it has not had to search too far for moisture. The plant falls and then regrows which renders the crop unusable due to soil contamination.
18 Apr, 2024
In late 2023, Basis Commodities successfully executed its first shipment of premium non genetically modified soybeans from Romania to Egypt, via two small vessels. Basis has many years of experience managing trade flows and relationships within the Middle East and we were pleased when the opportunity to add a new product – Soybeans – arose out of discussions with our suppliers in Romania and buyers in Egypt. To ensure the safe arrival of the produce, the company worked with several parties to facilitate the execution of this new flow for the company including managing due diligence, testing, insurance and contract execution. Soybeans are a primary source of protein and edible oil, making them essential for human nutrition. The largest producers of soybeans in the world are the United States, Brazil, and Argentina. These countries account for most of the global soybean production. Ukraine is the leading exporter of soybeans in Europe. However, Romania is seeing growth in this market after a long hiatus. This growth can be attributed to various factors including increased demand for soybeans globally, improvements in agricultural technology, and favourable climatic conditions for soybean cultivation in Romania. Egypt is among the top importers of soybeans in the world. The country imports large quantities of soybean, primarily for the production of soybean meal, a key ingredient in animal feed formulations. The country's growing population and expanding livestock sector contribute to the increasing demand for soybeans as a source of protein-rich feed. Basis Commodities General Manager in Dubai, Nader Ahmed said assisting companies making connections in the movement of soft commodities is a speciality of the company “we are committed to fostering international trade partnerships and promoting the exchange of quality agricultural products in the Middle East” and “We’re proud to have played a role in bringing premium soybeans into Egypts market”. For more information on how Basis Commodities and assist your business, reach out to the team on the details below
17 Apr, 2024
2023/2024 Season (New Crop) – USD FOB
More Articles

Sign Up

Enter your email address below to sign up to the Basis Commodities newsletter.

Newsletter Signup

Share by: